Edgewise Model Audit
Published model records available to the audit — across each sport we cover (AFL, NRL, NBA, EPL, UCL, BBL, ODI, T20I) — are recorded with their original creation time and reconciled when a supported final result is available. The report includes losses and voids and states missing coverage rather than estimating it. This page is publicly readable so prospective users, investors, and journalists can verify model performance without an account. A machine-readable JSON version is at /api/public/audit.json.
Figures use the earliest system baseline record created before the listed event start. Synthetic learning rows, user-entered bets, later duplicate snapshots and post-start records are excluded.
Legacy records without independently attributable provider metadata remain included in the historical total but are disclosed here. They are not presented as provider-verified evidence.
| Sport | Total | Settled | Won | Lost | Win rate | P/L (units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL | 133 | 87 | 60 | 27 | 69.0% | -2.63u |
| NRL | 130 | 76 | 51 | 25 | 67.1% | +0.01u |
| NBA | 54 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57.1% | -0.15u |
| ODI | 55 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 50.0% | -3.95u |
| LEAGUE | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | -1.00u |
| T20 | 47 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 61.5% | -2.63u |
| EPL | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | +0.00u |
| UCL | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | +0.00u |
Every pick is fingerprinted with SHA-256 at insert time and submitted to public OpenTimestamps calendar servers, which anchor the fingerprint into the Bitcoin blockchain. That means anyone — including investors with zero trust in us — can mathematically prove a pick existed before the match started. We cannot edit, delete, or backdate a stamped pick without it being detectable.
We snapshot live bookmaker prices for every sport we cover into our own database every 20 minutes. Once enough history accumulates, this powers real Closing Line Value (CLV) — the single metric sharp investors care about — instead of the implied-probability proxy currently shown above.
Append-only original prediction fields. Published predictions store their original creation time when inserted. The prediction pipeline stores its timestamp via Postgres created_at DEFAULT now(). Reconciliation runs once the final score lands in our score ingest pipeline.
Methodology: read the model methodology page for how probabilities, edges, and reconciliation work.
Compliance: Edgewise is research-only and is not a wagering service provider under the IGA 2001 (Cth). See Responsible Gambling.