Edgewise Model Audit
Every recommendation the Edgewise model has surfaced — across every sport we cover (AFL, NRL, NBA, EPL, UCL, BBL, ODI, T20I) — is auto-logged here the moment it appears on a sport page or the Edge Scanner, then reconciled against the actual final score. No cherry-picking, no back-tested fantasy. This page is publicly readable so prospective users, investors, and journalists can verify model performance without an account. A machine-readable JSON version is at /api/public/audit.json.
| Sport | Total | Settled | Won | Lost | Win rate | P/L (units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFL | 96 | 85 | 63 | 22 | 74.1% | +12.66u |
| NRL | 83 | 75 | 65 | 10 | 86.7% | +28.78u |
| NBA | 9 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100.0% | +5.00u |
| ODI | 39 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 51.9% | -1.99u |
| LEAGUE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | -1.00u |
| T20 | 47 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 61.5% | +2.61u |
Every pick is fingerprinted with SHA-256 at insert time and submitted to public OpenTimestamps calendar servers, which anchor the fingerprint into the Bitcoin blockchain. That means anyone — including investors with zero trust in us — can mathematically prove a pick existed before the match started. We cannot edit, delete, or backdate a stamped pick without it being detectable.
We snapshot live bookmaker prices for every sport we cover into our own database every 20 minutes. Once enough history accumulates, this powers real Closing Line Value (CLV) — the single metric sharp investors care about — instead of the implied-probability proxy currently shown above.
No edits, no deletions. Predictions are inserted at the moment the model surfaces them on a sport page. The auto-logger uses the consensus favourite per fixture and stores the timestamp via Postgres created_at DEFAULT now(). Reconciliation runs once the final score lands in our score ingest pipeline.
Methodology: read the model methodology page for how probabilities, edges, and reconciliation work.
Compliance: Edgewise is research-only and is not a wagering service provider under the IGA 2001 (Cth). See Responsible Gambling.