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Your command center. Live KPIs, today's best edges, bankroll curve and drawdown.
Bankroll & ROI cards
Top KPIs roll up your full ledger. ROI is profit ÷ stake turnover. CLV is your average price vs the closing line — positive CLV is the strongest leading indicator of long-term edge.
Today's Best Opportunities
Filtered list of model picks with the largest gap between model probability and market implied probability. Click a sport chip to narrow it.
Today's Opportunities — which models produce it
Each row is the OUTPUT of an ensemble, not a single model. For every fixture the terminal runs the sport-appropriate base model — Poisson for AFL/NRL totals & score-based H2H, Elo/Ratings for racing winners and H2H markets, and a Monte Carlo pass to convert those probabilities into a stable distribution. A Bayesian Blender then combines the model probability with the live market implied probability (sharp money is information) to produce the final 'Model %' you see on the card.
Today's Opportunities — how the numbers are arrived at
Step 1: base model outputs a raw probability per outcome. Step 2: Monte Carlo (5–10k iterations) smooths it and produces a confidence band. Step 3: Bayesian blend with market implied % (prior weight ~0.6 on the model). Step 4: Edge = blended model % − market implied %. Step 5: Kelly sizer turns edge + price into a recommended stake (¼ Kelly, capped at 2–3% bankroll). Step 6: rows are ranked by edge, filtered to ≥ the threshold you set, and only surfaced if confidence is above the cutoff.
Today's Opportunities — reading a row
Model % = blended probability the pick wins. Market % = 1 ÷ best available decimal odds. Edge (pp) = the gap, in percentage points, after margin. Confidence = how tightly the ensemble agrees (wider band = lower confidence). Kelly % = recommended stake. Trend sparkline = how the price has moved — drift toward you = your edge is being confirmed by the market, drift away = you're on the wrong side.
Bankroll & Drawdown charts
Equity curve shows cumulative P/L over time. The drawdown chart shows peak-to-trough %, so you can see how deep losing streaks have actually been.