EdgewiseAU
Quant intelligence · Racing · AFL · NRL
Demo60s
Pro · institutional12 modules

Backtesting & intelligence desk

"Does my model actually work?" Replay a model against historical odds and results, then validate it with CLV — the only metric that converges fast enough to trust. Live market intel (steam, line history, bookmaker grid, timing, drift, sentiment) lives on the Models page — those are decision aids for "should I bet right now?", not validity tests.

Strategy parameters

Sport
Model
Min edge · 3pp
pp
Odds range
$
$
Kelly fraction · 50%
Bankroll
$
Number of bets

Pick a sport, then the specific model that maps to a market (e.g. "AFL — H2H" or "Racing — Win"). The engine replays that model on historical odds with your edge, odds and Kelly filters. Re-run with new seeds to confirm results aren't path-dependent.

Headline KPI · CLV
+2.97%
Average closing-line value across 250 bets. Sustained positive CLV means the model is genuinely beating the close — the strongest evidence the edge is real.
P/L
+$16,270
ROI
+162.7%
Win rate
43.6%
Sharpe
1.93
Max DD
34.09%
Risk of ruin
0%
Bets
250
Bankroll
$10.0k

Synthetic backtest of AFL — H2H (Poisson + Elo blend) using a Kelly-staked strategy with your edge/odds filters. Each re-run draws a new random seed to expose path dependence — the strategy is only credible if CLV stays positive across seeds, not just one lucky run.

Historical CSV backtest

Upload a Sportsbet / TAB / Betfair history export. We parse odds, stake, result and (if present) closing odds, then simulate ROI, drawdown and CLV against your starting bankroll.

Educational analytics only. Backtests are synthetic stress-tests on historical edges — past performance is not indicative of future results. Gambling carries risk — bet responsibly. 18+. If gambling is a problem, call 1800 858 858 (Gambling Help AU).

Important · educational analytics only

Edgewise provides quantitative sports analytics for research and education. Nothing on this platform is financial, investment or betting advice and no profits, returns or outcomes are guaranteed. Models are statistical estimates and may be wrong.

Gambling carries financial risk and can be addictive. You must be 18+ (or your local legal age). Bet within your means and only with licensed Australian operators. For confidential help: Gambling Help Online — 1800 858 858 · gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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