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User picks vs the model

Every user with at least 10 settled picks in the last 12 months, ranked by ROI. Identities are anonymised — handles are one-way hashes of the user id, so no PII leaks. The Edgewise Model row is the auto-logged baseline anyone can audit at /audit/public.

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Methodology. Each pick is staked 1u flat. A win returns (price − 1)u, a loss returns −1u, a void returns 0u. ROI = total profit / total settled stake. Brier = mean squared error of model probability vs binary outcome (lower is better). CLV proxy = average gap between model probability and the median-book implied probability at log time.

Eligibility. Minimum 10 settled (non-void) picks in the last 12 months. Users with fewer picks are hidden until they qualify.

Privacy. Handles are user_ + the first 8 hex chars of a SHA-256 hash of the user id. No display names, emails, or other identifiers are exposed.

EdgewiseedgewiseAustralian sports intelligence
Important · educational analytics only · available Australia-wide

Edgewise provides quantitative sports analytics for research and education to users across all Australian states and territories. Nothing on this platform is financial, investment, legal, tax or betting advice and no profits, returns or outcomes are guaranteed. Models are statistical estimates and may be wrong. Edgewise is not a bookmaker, does not accept wagers, does not offer or promote inducements, and is not a regulated wagering service provider under the Interactive Gambling Act 2001 (Cth).

You win some. You lose more. Gambling carries financial risk and can be addictive. You must be 18 or older to use this service anywhere in Australia. Bet only with operators licensed in an Australian state or territory and only within your means. Free, confidential 24/7 support: Gambling Help Online — 1800 858 858 · gamblinghelponline.org.au. National self-exclusion register: betstop.gov.au. Personal information is handled in accordance with the Privacy Act 1988 (Cth) and the Australian Privacy Principles.

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