Horse Racing
Flemington · Randwick · Eagle Farm
2000m Turf
6 runners · Going Good · Off 15:45 AEDT
Field & form
Tap a runner to view detail · model probabilities
| # | Runner | Rating | Trend | Win % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Southern Cross C. Waller · BAR 4 · 58.5kg | 92 | 28.0% | $3.40 | |
2 | Sovereign Strike P. Moody · BAR 7 · 57kg | 95 | 34.0% | $2.80 | |
3 | Capital Reign C. Waller · BAR 2 · 56.5kg | 88 | 18.0% | $5.50 | |
4 | Lightning Bay G. Waterhouse · BAR 9 · 55kg | 82 | 9.0% | $11.00 | |
5 | Outback Storm J. Cummings · BAR 11 · 54.5kg | 76 | 6.0% | $17.00 | |
6 | Gold Coast Flyer T. Snowden · BAR 1 · 54kg | 71 | 5.0% | $20.00 |
Race scenario
Drag to recompute the field
Kelly staking
Selection · Southern Cross
Current slate & pricing calculator
Tap any race to load it into the hero above, then price a runner with the racing calculator.
Upcoming races · tap to load
Race analytics
Value board against the de-vigged market, money flow, barrier bias, speed ratings and the predicted pace map for the loaded race.
Value board · model vs no-vig market
Market prices are de-vigged to a fair book, then compared with the model. Positive edge means the model rates the runner better than the market does. Stake column is quarter-Kelly.
| Runner | Model | Fair mkt | Price | Edge | ¼-Kelly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5. Outback Storm | 6.0% | 5.7% | $17.00 | +2.0% | 0.0% |
6. Gold Coast Flyer | 5.0% | 4.8% | $20.00 | +0.0% | 0.0% |
3. Capital Reign | 18.0% | 17.6% | $5.50 | -1.0% | — |
4. Lightning Bay | 9.0% | 8.8% | $11.00 | -1.0% | — |
1. Southern Cross | 28.0% | 28.5% | $3.40 | -4.8% | — |
2. Sovereign Strike | 34.0% | 34.6% | $2.80 | -4.8% | — |
Market movement
Where the money has gone since the market opened. Firmers are being backed; drifters are being let go.
- 2. Sovereign Strike$2.80
- 5. Outback Storm$17.00
- 1. Southern Cross$3.40
- 6. Gold Coast Flyer$20.00
- 4. Lightning Bay$11.00
- 3. Capital Reign$5.50
Barrier bias
Share of model win probability by barrier band at Flemington over 2000m.
- 1–3 (inside)23.0% · 2 runners
- 4–6 (mid)28.0% · 1 runners
- 7–9 (wide)43.0% · 2 runners
- 10+ (carpark)6.0% · 1 runners
Speed rating ladder
Top-rated runners on the model's composite speed and class figure.
- 2. Sovereign Strike95
- 1. Southern Cross92
- 3. Capital Reign88
- 4. Lightning Bay82
- 5. Outback Storm76
- 6. Gold Coast Flyer71
Weight, form & consistency
Handicap spread and recent finishing form for the shortest-priced runners.
- 2. Sovereign Strike57kg · 2-1-1-2-1
- 1. Southern Cross58.5kg · 1-2-1-3-1
- 3. Capital Reign56.5kg · 1-1-2-1-1
- 4. Lightning Bay55kg · 3-2-3-1-2
- 5. Outback Storm54.5kg · 5-4-2-3-2
- 6. Gold Coast Flyer54kg · 4-3-5-2-4
Pace map · predicted run
Predicted position through the run for every runner, from the jump to the line. Lanes are ordered by barrier; the colour is the silks.
Price trend by runner
Movement of each runner's quote since the market opened.
Models & markets for horse racing
What people actually bet on the races, which Edgewise engines are pointed at it, and how to start following them.
How people bet Horse racing
Meeting-by-meeting speed maps, best-tote versus fixed comparison, and each-way maths that most punters get wrong.
Engines pointed at this sport
- Speed map & settle live
Barrier, tempo and settling position per runner.
- Rated price board live
Own rated price for every runner versus market.
- Line shopping live
Best available price across 29 licensed books, refreshed every sweep.
- CLV tracker live
Scores every pick against closing price.
- Open the command centre and choose Follow models.
- Pick the engines above you want mirrored — each gets its own paper bankroll.
- Every qualifying bet on this sport is logged for you, timestamped, with the stake already rounded.
- Exotics optimiser — Stake allocation across exacta/trifecta combinations.
Horse Racing · speed figures & no-vig
We rate each runner on speed figure + recent form + barrier + jockey/trainer combos, then strip the book's over-round to get a fair price ladder.