Starter playbook — $1,000 bankroll
Seven steps. Tick them off as you go — your progress is saved in this browser. Pick the sport you actually follow first; the example bets, stake sizes and which tools to use are tuned to that sport.
- 1 · Mark which bookmakers you actually use
Open My Bookmakers and tick every book where you have an active account. From this point on, every Best-Price, Line Shop and Arbitrage scanner will only show prices you can actually take — instead of dangling unreachable odds.
- 2 · Set your $1000 bankroll in the Ledger
Add an opening Ledger entry with a $1000 bank. The home dashboard, drawdown chart and Kelly sizer all key off this number. Treat bankroll as the figure you are willing to lose without changing your life — top it up monthly, never chase.
- 3 · Open the AFL desk
Line markets and home-ground edges (Penrith/Storm-style venue bias in AFL: Geelong at Kardinia, Brisbane at Gabba). Read the Probable Winner card and the trading-desk modules side-by-side before scrolling.
- 4 · Scan today's edges
Engine Room → Edge Scanner ranks every open market by model edge after vig. For your first week, only act on rows with edge ≥ 3pp, confidence ≥ medium, and a book you actually hold. Skip everything else, even if it looks juicy.
- 5 · Stake at ¼ Kelly, hard-capped at 2% bankroll
With $1000, that's a maximum stake of $20 per bet — most picks will sit at $5–$15. The Edge Calculator on the Learn page (or the Kelly column on Scanner rows) computes this for you. Resist the urge to round up.
- 6 · Log every bet to the Ledger immediately
Use the Log Pick button on the row, or paste your bookmaker confirmation. Without a clean Ledger, ROI / CLV / drawdown are guesses. Re-open the Ledger weekly — that's where you'll see whether the system is actually working for you.
- 7 · Review CLV after settlement
Once your bets settle, My CLV shows your average taken price vs the closing line. Positive CLV is the single strongest leading indicator that the system is working for you — even on a losing week. Negative CLV across 50+ bets means stop and re-think.